STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$81.11
2.83 (3.62%)
▲
5d:
+4.98%
30d:
+4.64%
90d:
-1.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.16
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $81.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.20 to $80.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.20 -
$80.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with -4.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.20 -
$80.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.07
Resistance Level
$82.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.39
Wall Street Target
$86.50
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.06
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$85.05
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$87.09
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.0%)
$92.59
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: -9.0%)
$61.19
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: -9.0%)
$52.01
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.06
Bull Case
$80.07
(-1%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$72.79
(-10%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$53.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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