Strattec Security (STRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$71.38
0.30 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
-12.6%
90d:
-9.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.15
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $71.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.57 to $84.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.90, while resistance sits at $76.44.
Market Sentiment: STRT scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.90, while resistance sits at $76.44.
Market Sentiment: STRT scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.57 -
$84.22
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($82.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.57 -
$84.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.90
Resistance Level
$76.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.67
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$68.13
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$66.57
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$71.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -9.0%)
$85.75
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: -9.0%)
$53.85
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: -9.0%)
$45.77
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$89.37
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$81.24
(+14%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$48.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$76.64
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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