STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$80.45
1.20 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
+2.21%
30d:
+11.52%
90d:
+5.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.67
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $80.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.28 to $80.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.28 -
$80.29
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with -4.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.28 -
$80.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.07
Resistance Level
$82.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.28
Wall Street Target
$86.50
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.30
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$84.19
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$86.13
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.0%)
$92.59
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -9.0%)
$60.69
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: -9.0%)
$51.59
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.05
Bull Case
$81.20
(+1%)
Analyst growth -6.9%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$73.81
(-8%)
Market implied -6.9%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$53.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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