Strattec Security (STRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$60.47
0.56 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-9.72%
90d:
-29.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.67
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $60.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.08 to $67.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+35.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+35.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.08 -
$67.91
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($82.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.08 -
$67.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.49
Resistance Level
$64.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.73
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.24
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$52.30
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$48.64
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$60.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.0%)
$84.43
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: -9.0%)
$45.62
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: -9.0%)
$38.78
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$75.02
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$68.20
(+13%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$40.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$74.95
(+23.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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