STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$87.89
-0.50 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
+2.46%
30d:
+6.29%
90d:
+16.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.66
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $87.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.68 to $86.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.66, while resistance sits at $91.97.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.66, while resistance sits at $91.97.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.68 -
$86.57
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with -4.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.68 -
$86.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.66
Resistance Level
$91.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$86.50
(-1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 13.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.20
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$96.71
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$101.45
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -9.0%)
$88.13
(+0%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: -9.0%)
$66.31
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: -9.0%)
$56.36
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$91.47
(+4%)
Analyst growth -5.9%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$83.15
(-5%)
Market implied -5.9%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$60.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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