Strattec Security (STRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$65.80
0.03 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
-9.95%
90d:
-14.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.66
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $65.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.34 to $73.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $63.81, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: STRT scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $63.81, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: STRT scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.34 -
$73.45
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($82.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.34 -
$73.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.81
Resistance Level
$68.85
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.68
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.77
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$59.89
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$57.13
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$66.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -9.0%)
$86.72
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -9.0%)
$49.64
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -9.0%)
$42.19
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.00
Bull Case
$81.54
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$74.12
(+13%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$44.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$76.07
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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