Strattec Security (STRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$62.29
+1.27 (+2.08%)
â˛
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-2.2%
90d:
-22.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$60.90 â $64.34
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.1x
CHEAP
vs 13.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$82.00
+31.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.64 / $67.63
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.17
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $62.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.90 to $64.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.64, while resistance sits at $67.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.64, while resistance sits at $67.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.00 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.90 -
$64.34
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$60.90 -
$64.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$59.64
Resistance Level
$67.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($82.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.05
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.74
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$55.39
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$52.23
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â13)
$62.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.0%)
$84.43
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -9.0%)
$46.99
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -9.0%)
$39.94
(-36%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.13
Bull Case
$91.58
(+47%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$83.26
(+34%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$41.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$74.38
(+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.4%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
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