TRIP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIP - TripAdvisor, Inc.
$12.39
0.03 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+25.15%
90d:
+23.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.94
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.00
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIP is currently trading at $12.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.23 to $12.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.35, while resistance sits at $14.20.
Market Sentiment: TRIP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.26 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.35, while resistance sits at $14.20.
Market Sentiment: TRIP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.26 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.23 -
$12.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.23 -
$12.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.35
Resistance Level
$14.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$14.26
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$13.22
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$13.66
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$64.93
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 22.7%)
$22.91
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 22.7%)
$19.47
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.30
Bull Case
$14.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$12.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$9.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRIP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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