Is TRIP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, TRIP is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRIP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of TRIP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TRIP to be between $8.43 and $9.22. The current price is $9.67.

What is the analyst price target for TRIP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TRIP is $13.21. This implies a potential upside of 36.7% from current levels.

TripAdvisor (TRIP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRIP - TripAdvisor, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$9.67

0.23 (2.44%) ▲

5d: +2.98%

30d: +20.27%

90d: -29.42%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 12d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $8.70 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 9.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRIP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$15.83

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$9.83

1.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRIP is currently trading at $9.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.43 to $9.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TRIP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.21 (+36.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $8.43 - $9.22

Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 31.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.7% below Wall St target ($13.21)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with -7.2% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.43 - $9.22

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.59

Resistance Level $9.72

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.04

Wall Street Target $13.21 (+36.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -32.1%

Profit Margin 0.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +6.1% premium

PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 7.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $10.26 (+6%)

2-Year Target $10.89 (+13%)

3-Year Target $11.55 (+19%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $9.71 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.0%) $44.52 (+360%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 28.0%) $20.27 (+110%)

Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 28.0%) $17.04 (+76%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 6.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.43

Bull Case $11.68 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.1

Base Case $9.67 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.8

Bear Case $7.40 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM

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