TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
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Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$131.64
+1.04 (+0.80%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
+18.94%
90d:
+23.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$111.45 – $126.80
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.9x
FAIR
vs 24.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$131.93
+0.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$120.49 / $132.46
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.79
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TW is currently trading at $131.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.45 to $126.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.9) compared to its historical average (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$111.45 -
$126.80
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$111.45 -
$126.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$120.49
Resistance Level
$132.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($131.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.90
Wall Street Target
$131.93
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
39.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.77
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$142.11
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$147.65
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$200.70
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$142.87
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$121.44
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$159.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$144.66
(+10%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$88.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TW)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investors on StockTwits are bullish on $TW, expecting a catalyst to push the stock above the $102.75 resistance level. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
Anticipation for a catalyst to break resistance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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