Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TW - Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
$122.57
0.68 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+8.0%
30d:
+21.2%
90d:
+20.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.65
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TW is currently trading at $122.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.77 to $114.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.77 -
$114.35
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.77 -
$114.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.91
Resistance Level
$122.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.56
Wall Street Target
$127.53
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
40.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 24.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$128.52
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$131.61
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$181.66
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$135.85
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$115.47
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.18
Bull Case
$148.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.4%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$134.58
(+10%)
Market implied 10.4%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$82.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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