TW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TW - Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
$107.76
0.71 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+2.46%
30d:
+7.94%
90d:
+1.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.45
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TW is currently trading at $107.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.50 to $105.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $107.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.86 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $107.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.86 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$99.50 -
$105.17
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($123.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.50 -
$105.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.55
Resistance Level
$107.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.13
Wall Street Target
$123.86
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
40.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 25.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.13
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$100.24
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$97.43
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$106.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$153.40
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$133.10
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$113.13
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$127.12
(+19%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case
$115.57
(+8%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$70.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$115.59
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Peterson
SELL
21221 shares
2026-04-15
Justin Peterson
SELL
3212 shares
2026-03-18
William Hult
SELL
72450 shares
2026-03-03
Top Rated Capital Markets Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Capital Markets by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$32 | 65 BUY |
|
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$162 | 60 HOLD |
|
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$125 | 41 HOLD |
|
CLSK
CleanSpark Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$24 | 66 BUY |
|
FUTU
Futu Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$161 | 37 SELL |
