Ultra Clean (UCTT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$72.69
-5.95 (-7.57%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.44%
30d:
+10.02%
90d:
-31.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $72.69 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UCTT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UCTT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.18
51.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $72.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.98 to $77.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.00 (+88.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.00 (+88.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$67.98 -
$77.26
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 88.5% below Wall St target ($137.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.98 -
$77.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.74
Resistance Level
$82.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.38
Wall Street Target
$137.00
(+88.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 21.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.42
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$58.88
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$52.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â21)
$91.15
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 85.5%)
$404.15
(+456%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 85.5%)
$245.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 85.5%)
$208.53
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$125.03
(+72.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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