UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$98.25
-8.02 (-7.55%)
▼
5d:
-6.9%
30d:
+8.09%
90d:
+29.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UCTT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.46
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $98.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.74 to $122.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.55, while resistance sits at $144.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.40 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.55, while resistance sits at $144.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.40 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$93.74 -
$122.56
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($113.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.74 -
$122.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.55
Resistance Level
$144.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.95
Wall Street Target
$113.40
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.61
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$103.02
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$105.50
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$98.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 67.7%)
$331.59
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 67.7%)
$289.44
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 67.7%)
$246.02
(+150%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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