UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$89.17
5.86 (7.03%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
-16.25%
90d:
+19.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UCTT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UCTT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.46
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $89.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.77 to $117.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.32, while resistance sits at $105.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.40 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.32, while resistance sits at $105.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.40 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$84.77 -
$117.39
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($116.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.77 -
$117.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.32
Resistance Level
$105.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.65
Wall Street Target
$116.40
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.75
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$87.05
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$89.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 53.0%)
$300.95
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 53.0%)
$275.48
(+209%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 53.0%)
$234.16
(+163%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$91.35
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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