Ultra Clean (UCTT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$44.99
0.53 (1.19%)
▲
5d:
-11.78%
30d:
-41.2%
90d:
-48.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: UCTT is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: UCTT is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.54
71.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $44.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.29 to $77.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.83 (+198.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.83 (+198.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.29 -
$77.39
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 198.8% below Wall St target ($132.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.29 -
$77.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.96
Resistance Level
$70.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.12
Wall Street Target
$132.83
(+198.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$32.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→21)
$93.77
(+111%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 100.7%)
$418.54
(+841%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 100.7%)
$150.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 100.7%)
$127.54
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$128.63
(+189.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+189.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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