Ultra Clean (UCTT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.10
-1.53 (-3.08%)
▼
5d:
+29.3%
30d:
-15.3%
90d:
-43.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$45.78 – $71.28
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.7x
CHEAP
vs 19.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$112.83
+127.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.06 / $52.33
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UCTT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 27.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $55.88 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.32
69.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $48.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.78 to $71.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.05, while resistance sits at $52.33. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.83 (+127.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.05, while resistance sits at $52.33. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.83 (+127.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.78 -
$71.28
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.78 -
$71.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$37.06
Resistance Level
$52.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 127.3% below Wall St target ($112.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.65
Wall Street Target
$112.83
(+127.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-27.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-27.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→20)
$93.64
(+89%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 88.8%)
$434.85
(+776%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 88.8%)
$167.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 88.8%)
$142.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 7.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.90
Bull Case
$59.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$49.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$37.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$128.45
(+158.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+158.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UCTT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $UCTT with one user expressing excitement.
Key Retail Themes:
Anticipation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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