UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$111.63
-11.51 (-9.35%)
▼
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
+38.53%
90d:
+82.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UCTT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: UCTT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$174.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $111.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.72 to $107.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.4) compared to its historical average (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $84.14, while resistance sits at $125.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $84.14, while resistance sits at $125.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.72 -
$107.83
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($107.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.7% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.72 -
$107.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.14
Resistance Level
$125.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.35
Wall Street Target
$107.40
(-3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.7% premium
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 22.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.23
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$129.48
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$139.45
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$111.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 67.7%)
$376.75
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 67.7%)
$289.44
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 67.7%)
$246.02
(+120%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
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