UHAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UHAL - U-Haul Holding Company

SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)
$71.65
0.74 (1.04%) ▲
5d: -1.8%
30d: +6.02%
90d: +38.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UHAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UHAL is currently trading at $71.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.76 to $71.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 93.0) compared to its historical average (78.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UHAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.28 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $66.76 - $71.75
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($88.28)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with 3.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $66.76 - $71.75
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $69.85
Resistance Level $74.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 93.05
Wall Street Target $88.28 (+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -43.5%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.0% premium
PE vs Historical 93.1 vs 78.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $75.95 (+6%)
2-Year Target $80.51 (+12%)
3-Year Target $85.34 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 93→78) PE COMPRESSION $71.72 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 93.1, Growth: 129.9%) $241.82 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 129.9%) $53.87 (-25%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 129.9%) $45.79 (-36%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 71.43 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.00
Bull Case $86.52 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 75.0
Base Case $71.65 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 71.4
Bear Case $54.81 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 64.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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