USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USAR - USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$13.59
-0.21 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
-10.47%
30d:
-23.87%
90d:
-29.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: USAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: USAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAR is currently trading at $13.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.76 to $18.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 453.0) is in line with its historical norms (468.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.56 (+161.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.56 (+161.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.76 -
$18.05
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding USAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 161.6% below Wall St target ($35.56)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.76 -
$18.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.47
Resistance Level
$17.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
453.00
Wall Street Target
$35.56
(+161.6%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
453.0 vs 468.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.29
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.15
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 453→469)
$13.61
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 453.0 to 468.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.07
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced USAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USAR price and gamma walls.
