USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.27
+0.35 (+4.36%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-26.73%
90d:
-55.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.50 – $11.96
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
275.5x
CHEAP
vs 391.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.63
+294.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.84 / $10.89
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $8.43 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAR is currently trading at $8.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.50 to $11.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 275.5) compared to its historical average (391.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.84, while resistance sits at $10.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: USAR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.62 (+294.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.84, while resistance sits at $10.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: USAR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.62 (+294.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.50 -
$11.96
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.50 -
$11.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.84
Resistance Level
$10.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 294.7% below Wall St target ($32.62)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
275.50
Wall Street Target
$32.63
(+294.7%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
275.5 vs 391.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.69
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 276→392)
$8.56
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 275.5 to 391.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.75
(+42.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (USAR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
USA Rare Earth's Q3 earnings report showed a shift from significant losses to a modest profit, generating US$3.0 million in revenue and US$11.7 million in net income. The company is focused on expanding domestic processing capabilities for rare earth elements.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
profitability
rare earth expansion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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