USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.92
-0.84 (-9.59%)
▼
5d:
-9.07%
30d:
-32.99%
90d:
-56.98%
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Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.63 – $12.22
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
264.0x
CHEAP
vs 394.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.13
+343.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.84 / $10.89
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: USAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $10.77 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAR is currently trading at $7.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.63 to $12.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 264.0) compared to its historical average (394.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.84, while resistance sits at $10.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: USAR scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.12 (+343.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.84, while resistance sits at $10.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: USAR scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.12 (+343.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.63 -
$12.22
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.63 -
$12.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.84
Resistance Level
$10.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 343.5% below Wall St target ($35.12)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.1%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
264.00
Wall Street Target
$35.13
(+343.5%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
264.0 vs 394.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 264→395)
$8.63
(+9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 264.0 to 394.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.84
(+49.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (USAR)
Bearish
5 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
4 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
USA Rare Earth (USAR) reported the completion of the Serra Verde merger and the first commercial sales of NdFeB magnets from its Stillwater facility. Raw material shortages impacted financial results for the quarter.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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