VersaBank Common Shares (VBNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VBNK - VersaBank Common Shares

Commercial Banks, NEC
$22.40
0.29 (1.31%) ▲
5d: -4.31%
30d: +16.18%
90d: -0.88%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: VBNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.74
5.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VBNK is currently trading at $22.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.27 to $23.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VBNK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $20.27 - $23.15
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.5%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.27 - $23.15
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.55 (6.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.80
Resistance Level $24.04
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.41
Wall Street Target $25.50 (+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.0%
Profit Margin 23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.4% premium
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 10.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.39 (+4%)
2-Year Target $24.41 (+9%)
3-Year Target $25.49 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $22.34 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 67.8%) $135.15 (+503%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 67.8%) $75.60 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 67.8%) $64.26 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case $48.64 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case $44.22 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case $15.03 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VBNK price and gamma walls.

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