What is the fair value of VIAV stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VIAV to be between $36.38 and $42.29. The current price is $36.95.

What is the analyst price target for VIAV?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VIAV is $61.43. This implies a potential upside of 66.2% from current levels.

VIAV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$36.95

-1.95 (-5.01%) ▼

5d: -20.13%

30d: -6.5%

90d: -25.37%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $39.24 · last confirmed Aug 24, 2026

Strength: 9.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VIAV is down 20.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$62.57

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$38.85

4.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $36.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.38 to $42.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.8) compared to its historical average (33.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 326.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.43 (+66.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $36.38 - $42.29

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
BULLISH: Trading 66.2% below Wall St target ($61.43)
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.38 - $42.29

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.11

Resistance Level $46.66

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.75

Wall Street Target $61.43 (+66.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 52.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 326.5%

Profit Margin -2.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 28.8 vs 33.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $35.18 (-5%)

2-Year Target $33.49 (-9%)

3-Year Target $31.88 (-14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→33) $37.04 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: 37.1%) $95.31 (+158%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.1%) $66.47 (+80%)

Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 37.1%) $56.50 (+53%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.7 to 33.4

Stabilization Target: $42.93 (+16.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +16.2%

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-27

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-09

Paul Mcnab SELL 3551 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced VIAV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIAV price and gamma walls.

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