Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock
$47.10
2.32 (5.18%)
▲
5d:
+15.78%
30d:
+36.52%
90d:
+11.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIAV is 15.1% above its trading range ($40.91). Market expects 3.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIAV is 15.1% above its trading range ($40.91). Market expects 3.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $47.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.41 to $40.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.6) compared to its historical average (32.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIAV scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.43 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIAV scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.43 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.41 -
$40.91
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
VIAV is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($61.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.41 -
$40.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.82
Resistance Level
$48.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.65
Wall Street Target
$61.43
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
326.5%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
36.7 vs 32.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.89
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$50.75
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$52.68
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 37.1%)
$121.49
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.1%)
$67.63
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 37.1%)
$57.49
(+22%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 3:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIAV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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