VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES Best Semiconductor Stocks 2026 →

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$30.72
-1.82 (-5.59%) ▼
5d: +7.9% 30d: -16.57% 90d: -33.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$29.03 – $41.15
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.9x CHEAP
vs 32.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.00
+82.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$24.08 / $34.14
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: VIAV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $33.60 · last confirmed Nov 13, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $30.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.03 to $41.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (32.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 326.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.08, while resistance sits at $34.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+82.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $29.03 - $41.15
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $29.03 - $41.15
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $24.08
Resistance Level $34.14
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 82.3% below Wall St target ($56.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.90
Wall Street Target $56.00 (+82.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 326.5%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.9 vs 32.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.83 (-9%)
2-Year Target $25.22 (-18%)
3-Year Target $22.85 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→32) $30.68 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.9, Growth: 37.1%) $79.24 (+158%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.1%) $65.84 (+114%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 37.1%) $55.97 (+82%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.73
Bull Case $37.09 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case $30.72 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case $23.50 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 32.1
Stabilization Target: $41.26 (+34.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VIAV)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $VIAV with no new information from Yahoo Finance.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive VIAV Research Pages
VIAV Technical Chart VIAV Price Prediction VIAV Intrinsic Value DCF VIAV Earnings Date Why is VIAV Moving Today? VIAV Investment Advisor VIAV Fair Price Analyzer VIAV Options Chain VIAV Options Advisor VIAV Options Analysis VIAV Competitors
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