VIRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRT - Virtu Financial, Inc. Class A
$64.67
-1.13 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+16.42%
90d:
+33.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIRT trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: VIRT trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.14
Based on -1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRT is currently trading at $64.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.81 to $63.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.81 -
$63.23
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VIRT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($60.43)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.81 -
$63.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.62
Resistance Level
$54.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$60.43
(-6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.3%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 8.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.94
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$73.49
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$78.34
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.5%)
$111.01
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -6.5%)
$52.90
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -6.5%)
$43.83
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.04
Bull Case
$74.66
(+16%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$67.88
(+5%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$44.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph Molluso
SELL
200000 shares
2026-02-19
Stephen Cavoli
SELL
28370 shares
2026-02-17
Stephen Cavoli
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-12
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Advanced VIRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIRT price and gamma walls.
