VIRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRT - Virtu Financial, Inc. Class A
$67.93
6.74 (11.01%)
▲
5d:
+13.18%
30d:
+13.84%
90d:
+28.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIRT is 10.5% above its trading range ($61.48). Market expects 0.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VIRT is 10.5% above its trading range ($61.48). Market expects 0.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.00
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRT is currently trading at $67.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.24 to $61.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIRT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIRT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.24 -
$61.48
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
VIRT is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 29.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.24 -
$61.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.66
Resistance Level
$68.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$66.71
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.74
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$62.30
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$62.86
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -5.0%)
$119.11
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -5.0%)
$52.38
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -5.0%)
$44.52
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.91
Bull Case
$77.40
(+14%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$70.36
(+4%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$40.79
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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