ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$127.07
2.10 (1.68%)
â˛
5d:
-9.33%
30d:
-10.2%
90d:
-16.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACLS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACLS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.25
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $127.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.58 to $142.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $121.95, while resistance sits at $145.70.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.00 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $121.95, while resistance sits at $145.70.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.00 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$126.58 -
$142.33
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
25th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($161.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.58 -
$142.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$15.95
(12.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.95
Resistance Level
$145.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.12
Wall Street Target
$161.00
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 25.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$122.79
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$120.70
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â25)
$127.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$268.36
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$223.29
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$189.80
(+49%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$243.01
(+91%)
Analyst growth 76.8%, PE expands to 46.1
Base Case
$220.92
(+74%)
Market implied 76.8%, PE stable at 41.9
Bear Case
$84.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$133.81
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
