AGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGM - Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
$189.38
6.31 (3.45%)
▲
5d:
+3.23%
30d:
+6.99%
90d:
+32.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When AGM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.83
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGM is currently trading at $189.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.45 to $183.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.67 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.67 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$175.45 -
$183.48
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($219.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.45 -
$183.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.52
Resistance Level
$189.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$219.67
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
56.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$197.03
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$200.97
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$190.32
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$608.43
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$247.79
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$210.62
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.36
Bull Case
$247.66
(+31%)
Analyst growth 23.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$225.15
(+19%)
Market implied 23.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$124.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Credit Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Credit Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
V
Visa Inc. Class A |
STRONG BUY
41 analysts |
$399 | 60 BUY |
|
MA
Mastercard Inc |
STRONG BUY
42 analysts |
$645 | 61 BUY |
|
COF
Capital One Financial Co… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$255 | 62 BUY |
|
PYPL
PayPal Holdings Inc |
HOLD
47 analysts |
$52 | 57 HOLD |
|
AXP
American Express Company |
HOLD
30 analysts |
$363 | 63 BUY |
