AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$45.68
1.06 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-5.52%
90d:
-9.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.69
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.83
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $45.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.35 to $50.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.30, while resistance sits at $47.74.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.24 (+25.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.30, while resistance sits at $47.74.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.24 (+25.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.35 -
$50.77
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($57.24)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.35 -
$50.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.30
Resistance Level
$47.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.55
Wall Street Target
$57.24
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$42.10
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$40.41
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$45.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$96.81
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 18.0%)
$75.01
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 18.0%)
$63.76
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$65.54
(+44%)
Analyst growth 33.5%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$59.58
(+30%)
Market implied 33.5%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$30.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$51.70
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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