BZH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New
$32.10
-0.49 (-1.50%)
▼
5d:
-3.28%
30d:
+16.56%
90d:
+48.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BZH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BZH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.44
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $32.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.82 to $33.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.82 -
$33.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 22.1% above Wall St target ($25.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 19.3% growth with -27.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.82 -
$33.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.73
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.67
Resistance Level
$34.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.88
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(-22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 11.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.30
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$45.69
(+42%)
3-Year Target
$54.50
(+70%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BZH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BZH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BZH price and gamma walls.
