CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$184.09
-0.50 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+9.19%
90d:
+2.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$317.52
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$197.15
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $184.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.99 to $182.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$166.99 -
$182.54
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($197.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.99 -
$182.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.76
Resistance Level
$187.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.05
Wall Street Target
$197.04
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$182.80
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$181.52
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$180.25
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$184.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 19.4%)
$313.05
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 19.4%)
$273.76
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 19.4%)
$232.70
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$301.40
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.4%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$274.00
(+49%)
Market implied 48.4%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$125.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$188.10
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 07, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
5
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-13
Arun Rajan
BUY
605 shares
2026-02-12
David P Bozeman
BUY
1223 shares
2026-02-12
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