COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$2.75
0.06 (2.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.77%
30d:
+20.61%
90d:
+11.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
15d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.05 to $2.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.48, while resistance sits at $2.85.
Market Sentiment: COTY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.13 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.48, while resistance sits at $2.85.
Market Sentiment: COTY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.13 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.05 -
$2.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($3.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with -1.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.05 -
$2.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.48
Resistance Level
$2.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.00
Wall Street Target
$3.13
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 6.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.98
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$3.24
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$3.51
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.77
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 52.0%)
$24.06
(+775%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 52.0%)
$9.28
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 52.0%)
$7.31
(+166%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bretten Gordon Von
BUY
83000 shares
2026-03-06
Laurent Mercier
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.
