COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$1.95
0.05 (2.63%)
▲
5d:
-3.94%
30d:
+1.04%
90d:
-9.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COTY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COTY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.75
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $1.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.93 to $2.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.84, while resistance sits at $2.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.17 (+62.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.84, while resistance sits at $2.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.17 (+62.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.93 -
$2.16
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.8% below Wall St target ($3.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.93 -
$2.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.84
Resistance Level
$2.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.32
Wall Street Target
$3.17
(+62.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.85
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.76
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$1.68
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$1.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 57.6%)
$26.92
(+1280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 57.6%)
$6.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 57.6%)
$5.59
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$2.27
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bretten Gordon Von
BUY
83000 shares
2026-03-06
Laurent Mercier
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-10
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