Is DIS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DIS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of DIS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DIS to be between $104.15 and $108.49. The current price is $102.67.

What is the analyst price target for DIS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DIS is $127.22. This implies a potential upside of 23.9% from current levels.

The Walt Disney (DIS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DIS - The Walt Disney Company

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION

$102.67

-2.68 (-2.54%) ▼

5d: -3.64%

30d: -3.98%

90d: -1.17%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your DIS Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 12, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $105.31 · last confirmed Sep 14, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$142.37

Based on 6.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$88.40

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $102.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.15 to $108.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.22 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $104.15 - $108.49

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($127.22)
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.15 - $108.49

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $102.37

Resistance Level $109.42

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.73

Wall Street Target $127.22 (+23.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.3%

Profit Margin 8.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 14.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $101.44 (-1%)

2-Year Target $100.22 (-2%)

3-Year Target $99.02 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $102.41 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.1%) $190.60 (+86%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 8.1%) $129.55 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 8.1%) $110.11 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.77

Bull Case $181.68 (+77%)

Analyst growth 56.8%, PE expands to 24.3

Base Case $165.16 (+61%)

Market implied 56.8%, PE stable at 22.1

Bear Case $71.64 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.2

Stabilization Target: $106.19 (+3.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.4%

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Last updated: September 20, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

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