FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$59.97
-1.55 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
-11.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.4% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.4% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$142.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.41
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $59.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.25 to $67.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.84 (+18.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.84 (+18.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.25 -
$67.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.84)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.25 -
$67.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.85
Resistance Level
$72.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.93
Wall Street Target
$70.84
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.13
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$52.54
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$49.18
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$59.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 44.4%)
$263.52
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 44.4%)
$180.61
(+201%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 44.4%)
$153.52
(+156%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$135.34
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$123.04
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$41.83
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$73.12
(+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen T Higgins
SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
SELL
48500 shares
2026-02-13
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