FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$76.66
5.44 (7.64%)
▲
5d:
+15.3%
30d:
+20.72%
90d:
+23.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $68.52 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FCX is 10.3% above its trading range ($69.50). Market expects 1.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FCX is 10.3% above its trading range ($69.50). Market expects 1.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.24
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $76.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.79 to $69.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$60.79 -
$69.50
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($71.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.79 -
$69.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.57
Resistance Level
$77.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.59
Wall Street Target
$71.73
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.66
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$78.67
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$79.69
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.4%)
$214.50
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 37.4%)
$198.72
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 37.4%)
$168.91
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$156.68
(+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$142.44
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$48.43
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCX price and gamma walls.
