HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAL - Halliburton Company
$35.34
-0.35 (-0.98%)
▼
5d:
+2.67%
30d:
+8.04%
90d:
-15.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $31.89 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.63
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.48
20.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $35.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.10 to $34.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAL scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.20 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAL scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.20 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.10 -
$34.96
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($43.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.10 -
$34.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.23
Resistance Level
$36.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.15
Wall Street Target
$43.20
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.73
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$32.96
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$35.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.7%)
$110.43
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 23.7%)
$66.88
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 23.7%)
$56.84
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$58.54
(+66%)
Analyst growth 49.1%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$53.22
(+51%)
Market implied 49.1%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$24.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.80
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Allen Miller
SELL
158455 shares
2026-03-27
Jeffrey Shannon Slocum
SELL
5441 shares
2026-03-16
Van H Beckwith
SELL
19618 shares
2026-03-16
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Advanced HAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAL price and gamma walls.
