Halliburton (HAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HAL - Halliburton Company

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$32.85
-0.54 (-1.62%) ▼
5d: -7.91%
30d: -7.05%
90d: -6.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your HAL Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 27d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 18, 2026 at $33.64 · last confirmed Sep 21, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.65
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.87
25.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $32.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.10 to $36.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: HAL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.24 (+29.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $34.10 - $36.65
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($43.24)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.10 - $36.65
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.71
Resistance Level $37.80
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.50
Wall Street Target $43.24 (+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 16.1%
Profit Margin 7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 12.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.09 (-4%)
2-Year Target $30.84 (-8%)
3-Year Target $29.63 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $33.23 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 23.5%) $110.75 (+232%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 23.5%) $62.92 (+88%)
Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: 23.5%) $53.48 (+60%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case $56.23 (+68%)
Analyst growth 52.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case $51.12 (+53%)
Market implied 52.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case $22.88 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 12.9
Stabilization Target: $37.44 (+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.1%
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Last updated: September 22, 2026 4:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Allen Miller SELL 158455 shares 2026-03-27

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Advanced HAL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAL price and gamma walls.

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