HBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$25.36
-2.55 (-9.14%)
▼
5d:
-11.79%
30d:
+2.51%
90d:
+34.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HBM is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HBM is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.02
23.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $25.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.87 to $29.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.13, while resistance sits at $32.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.60 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.13, while resistance sits at $32.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.60 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.87 -
$29.27
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($33.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.87 -
$29.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.13
Resistance Level
$32.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.18
Wall Street Target
$33.60
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
91.9%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.25
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$28.42
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.9%)
$98.87
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 28.9%)
$59.84
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 28.9%)
$50.87
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$38.47
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$34.98
(+25%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$18.76
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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