HIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIG - The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$130.80
1.29 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.75%
30d:
-3.84%
90d:
-3.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.70
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIG is currently trading at $130.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.40 to $134.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $125.59, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: HIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.65 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $125.59, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: HIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.65 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.40 -
$134.09
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($147.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.40 -
$134.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$125.59
Resistance Level
$136.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.16
Wall Street Target
$147.65
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.4%
Profit Margin
14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.30
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$125.13
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$123.01
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$128.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$410.99
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$172.76
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$146.85
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.21
Bull Case
$140.43
(+8%)
Analyst growth -0.5%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$127.66
(-1%)
Market implied -0.5%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$87.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$135.79
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Rodden
SELL
40693 shares
2026-03-10
Lori A Rodden
SELL
5681 shares
2026-02-11
Christopher Swift
SELL
100970 shares
2026-02-04
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