JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$16.37
0.03 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+12.51%
30d:
-5.97%
90d:
+29.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.59
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $16.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.27 to $16.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.13, while resistance sits at $16.99.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.13, while resistance sits at $16.99.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$13.27 -
$16.21
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with -4.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.27 -
$16.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.13
Resistance Level
$16.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.54
Wall Street Target
$16.35
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 3.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.19
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$18.05
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$18.95
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.28
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$92.78
(+467%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 7.5%)
$20.32
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$17.27
(+6%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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