JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$11.57
0.16 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
-10.45%
30d:
+1.94%
90d:
+3.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.82
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.69
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $11.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.20 to $12.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (3.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $13.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.04 (+40.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $13.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.04 (+40.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.20 -
$12.68
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($16.04)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.20 -
$12.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.24
(10.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.92
Resistance Level
$13.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.12
Wall Street Target
$16.04
(+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.1 vs 3.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.60
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.85
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$9.15
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$11.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$98.59
(+764%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$14.12
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$12.00
(+5%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.1 to 3.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.27
(+25.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lance F Tucker
SELL
3150 shares
2026-01-28
Richard D Cook
SELL
292 shares
2025-12-30
Sarah L Super
SELL
434 shares
2025-12-30
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Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
