Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$10.60
-0.06 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-8.7%
90d:
+7.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NOMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.32
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $10.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.99 to $11.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.54 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.54 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.99 -
$11.89
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($13.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.99 -
$11.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.53
Resistance Level
$11.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.13
Wall Street Target
$13.54
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.94
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$11.12
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$33.92
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$11.95
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$10.16
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.00
Bull Case
$17.42
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.6%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$15.84
(+49%)
Market implied 48.6%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$7.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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