NOMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$12.27
0.46 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
+7.82%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+19.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.14
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $12.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.53 to $12.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.17
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.93
Resistance Level
$12.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.95
Wall Street Target
$13.77
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 6.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.51
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$13.24
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$14.03
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$33.62
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$13.31
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 4.1%)
$11.22
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$18.79
(+59%)
Analyst growth 47.1%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$17.08
(+45%)
Market implied 47.1%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$7.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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