RRGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRGB - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$6.62
0.72 (12.20%) β–²
5d: +9.42%
30d: +45.18%
90d: +114.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: RRGB is 16.5% above its trading range ($5.68). Market expects 3.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRGB is currently trading at $6.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.20 to $5.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 45.1) is in line with its historical norms (41.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: RRGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+52.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.20 - $5.68
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 16th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.5% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($10.12)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.5% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.20 - $5.68
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.91 (13.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.24
Resistance Level $5.25
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 45.13
Wall Street Target $10.13 (+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.6%
Profit Margin -2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 45.1 vs 41.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.83 (+3%)
2-Year Target $7.04 (+6%)
3-Year Target $7.25 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45β†’41) PE COMPRESSION $6.62 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: June 25, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesse Griffith SELL 1008 shares 2026-04-06
Jesse Griffith SELL 839 shares 2026-03-23
Sarah A Mussetter SELL 2913 shares 2026-03-23

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