SCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation

METAL MINING
$216.00
17.27 (8.69%) ▲
5d: +17.0%
30d: +18.54%
90d: +20.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $187.59 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.67
Based on -1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $216.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.95 to $197.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.3) is in line with its historical norms (28.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $217.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: SCCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $166.77. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $177.95 - $197.34
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.7%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 22.8% above Wall St target ($166.77)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $177.95 - $197.34
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $184.08
Resistance Level $217.16
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.26
Wall Street Target $166.77 (-22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 71.6%
Profit Margin 35.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium
PE vs Historical 30.3 vs 28.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $219.89 (+2%)
2-Year Target $223.85 (+4%)
3-Year Target $227.88 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→29) PE COMPRESSION $216.11 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.3, Growth: -6.8%) $175.01 (+-19%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -6.8%) $116.06 (-46%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -6.8%) $98.65 (-54%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.80
Bull Case $229.46 (+6%)
Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case $208.60 (-3%)
Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case $135.14 (-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo… SELL 193 shares 2026-03-13
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo… SELL 7 shares 2026-03-12

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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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