TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$6.96
-0.18 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-7.2%
30d:
+5.3%
90d:
+21.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TGB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TGB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.21
31.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $6.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.60 to $7.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.60 -
$7.65
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.48)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.60 -
$7.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.29
Resistance Level
$8.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.93
Wall Street Target
$7.48
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.5%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.54
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$6.14
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$5.76
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$6.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 78.8%)
$73.88
(+961%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 78.8%)
$23.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 78.8%)
$19.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.33
Bull Case
$8.40
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$6.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$5.32
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$8.44
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
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