TMUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TMUS - T-Mobile US, Inc.
$172.71
-0.63 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
-4.1%
30d:
-0.2%
90d:
-11.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
Get Alerted When TMUS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TMUS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TMUS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$410.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$255.17
32.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TMUS is currently trading at $172.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.13 to $189.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $169.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.08 (+40.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $169.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.08 (+40.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$175.13 -
$189.09
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($243.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.13 -
$189.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.68
Resistance Level
$196.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.44
Wall Street Target
$243.08
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 15.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.48
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$150.99
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$141.17
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$172.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 27.0%)
$590.17
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 27.0%)
$354.15
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 27.0%)
$301.03
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.14
Bull Case
$289.63
(+68%)
Analyst growth 51.9%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$263.30
(+53%)
Market implied 51.9%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$117.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$211.03
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TMUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Srikant M Datar
SELL
3291 shares
2026-03-04
G Michael Sievert
SELL
1089 shares
2026-02-24
Mark Wolfe Nelson
SELL
2329 shares
2026-02-24
Top Rated Telecom Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Telecom Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
T
AT&T Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$29 | 54 HOLD |
|
VZ
Verizon Communications I… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$52 | 49 HOLD |
|
RCI
Rogers Communications Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$42 | 46 HOLD |
|
AMX
America Movil SAB de CV … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$29 | 46 HOLD |
|
CMCSA
Comcast Corp |
SELL
26 analysts |
$30 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced TMUS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TMUS price and gamma walls.
