WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock
$157.78
7.53 (5.01%)
▲
5d:
+17.56%
30d:
+43.4%
90d:
+24.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 21, 2026 at $157.08 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: WPM is 15.8% above its trading range ($136.20). Market expects 3.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: WPM is 15.8% above its trading range ($136.20). Market expects 3.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.97
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $157.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.21 to $136.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (26.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.61 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.61 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$106.21 -
$136.20
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
WPM is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($174.61)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$106.21 -
$136.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.37
Resistance Level
$158.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.70
Wall Street Target
$174.61
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
84.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.7%
Profit Margin
64.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 26.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.81
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$161.57
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$167.55
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$150.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 5.1%)
$174.56
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.1%)
$117.96
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 5.1%)
$100.26
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$163.75
(+4%)
Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$148.86
(-6%)
Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$100.25
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WPM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WPM price and gamma walls.
