Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$78.10
-0.82 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
-7.93%
90d:
-16.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.87
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $78.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.60 to $83.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABCB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.17 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ABCB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.17 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.60 -
$83.88
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.60 -
$83.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.17
Resistance Level
$81.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.11
Wall Street Target
$93.17
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.07
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.09
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$72.17
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$77.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.1%)
$166.49
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 6.1%)
$93.17
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 6.1%)
$79.20
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.50
Bull Case
$110.92
(+42%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$100.83
(+29%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$53.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$84.33
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 8:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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