ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$89.77
0.38 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+2.33%
30d:
-3.65%
90d:
+7.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.38
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $89.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.61 to $90.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABCB scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABCB scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.61 -
$90.69
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.61 -
$90.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.46
Resistance Level
$90.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.77
Wall Street Target
$94.17
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
31.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$93.40
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$95.26
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.9%)
$168.97
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 5.9%)
$106.68
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 5.9%)
$90.68
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.53
Bull Case
$124.98
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.1%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$113.61
(+27%)
Market implied 27.1%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$60.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
Douglas D Strange
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
Nicole S Stokes
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
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