AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$241.55
4.13 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+6.35%
30d:
+7.49%
90d:
+15.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AME is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AME is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$294.85
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $241.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $223.45 to $232.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $241.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $241.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$223.45 -
$232.29
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AME? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($259.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$223.45 -
$232.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$221.00
Resistance Level
$241.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.46
Wall Street Target
$259.05
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$245.90
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$250.32
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$254.83
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$242.21
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$304.91
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$241.85
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$205.57
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.62
Bull Case
$347.03
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.9%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$315.48
(+31%)
Market implied 32.9%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$161.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas A Amato
SELL
530 shares
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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