ROK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROK - Rockwell Automation, Inc.
$476.82
-2.57 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
+4.55%
90d:
+34.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ROK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ROK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$533.78
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$331.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROK is currently trading at $476.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $443.45 to $469.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.8) is in line with its historical norms (30.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $486.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $486.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$443.45 -
$469.34
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ROK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($465.01)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$443.45 -
$469.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$455.70
Resistance Level
$486.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.76
Wall Street Target
$465.01
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 30.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$489.22
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$501.94
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$514.99
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$476.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$669.87
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$445.39
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$378.58
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.62
Bull Case
$797.92
(+67%)
Analyst growth 51.3%, PE expands to 54.8
Base Case
$725.38
(+52%)
Market implied 51.3%, PE stable at 49.8
Bear Case
$325.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 28, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew W Fordenwalt
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-13
Cyril Perducat
SELL
198 shares
2026-04-10
Matheus De A G Viera Bul…
SELL
1250 shares
2026-04-08
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