GENERAC (GNRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$175.11
0.08 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
-6.1%
30d:
-20.85%
90d:
-34.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.21
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.61
35.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $175.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.42 to $214.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $173.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNRC scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $283.88 (+62.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $173.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNRC scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $283.88 (+62.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$185.42 -
$214.01
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GNRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.1% below Wall St target ($283.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$185.42 -
$214.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$173.25
Resistance Level
$193.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$283.88
(+62.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$141.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$127.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→20)
$175.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.3%)
$425.54
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 21.3%)
$312.24
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 21.3%)
$265.41
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.31
Bull Case
$385.07
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$350.06
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.6
Bear Case
$119.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$241.13
(+37.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 17, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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