AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)
$24.57
-0.41 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
+7.25%
30d:
+11.43%
90d:
-4.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.61
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $24.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.46 to $23.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.30 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.30 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.46 -
$23.37
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.46 -
$23.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.28
Resistance Level
$25.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.72
Wall Street Target
$29.30
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.30
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.03
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$23.77
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$24.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$57.43
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$33.90
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$28.81
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$34.69
(+41%)
Analyst growth 26.3%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$31.54
(+28%)
Market implied 26.3%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$16.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$25.36
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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