Aon (AON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$303.52
-3.28 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
+3.75%
30d:
+9.94%
90d:
-17.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$439.04
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$272.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $303.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $272.51 to $296.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $307.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AON scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.21 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $307.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AON scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.21 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$272.51 -
$296.46
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($354.21)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$272.51 -
$296.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$272.04
Resistance Level
$307.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.01
Wall Street Target
$354.21
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$298.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$292.69
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$287.42
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$304.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$517.88
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$391.54
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$332.81
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.91
Bull Case
$360.76
(+19%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$327.97
(+8%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$208.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$321.41
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 9:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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