AON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$328.69
12.74 (4.03%)
▲
5d:
+3.45%
30d:
+3.19%
90d:
+1.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When AON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$502.43
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$311.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $328.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.67 to $330.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $338.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $338.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$317.67 -
$330.28
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($382.37)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.67 -
$330.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$313.62
Resistance Level
$338.21
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.35
Wall Street Target
$382.37
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$324.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$319.55
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$315.08
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$328.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$654.66
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$461.49
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$392.27
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.23
Bull Case
$408.14
(+24%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$371.03
(+13%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$214.85
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$342.53
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 28, 2026 7:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Zeidel
SELL
5040 shares
2026-02-17
Lester B Knight
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Insurance Brokers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance Brokers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co |
BUY
22 analysts |
$265 | 64 BUY |
|
WTW
Willis Towers Watson PLC |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$332 | 60 HOLD |
|
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Compani… |
SELL
20 analysts |
$211 | 61 BUY |
|
BRO
Brown & Brown Inc |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$72 | 63 BUY |
|
BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Gr… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$29 | 60 BUY |
Advanced AON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AON price and gamma walls.
