APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$42.18
-0.50 (-1.17%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.87%
30d:
+7.63%
90d:
+13.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.60
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $42.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.38 to $41.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.52, while resistance sits at $43.81.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.52, while resistance sits at $43.81.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.38 -
$41.96
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($39.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.38 -
$41.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.52
Resistance Level
$43.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.49
Wall Street Target
$39.25
(-6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.53
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$44.92
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$46.36
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$91.91
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$47.64
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$40.50
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$44.33
(+5%)
Analyst growth -5.6%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$40.30
(-5%)
Market implied -5.6%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$29.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 10:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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