ARAMARK (ARMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$56.76
-0.15 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
+0.07%
30d:
-6.14%
90d:
+6.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.59
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.73
3.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $56.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.42 to $60.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.97 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.97 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$56.42 -
$60.24
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.97)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.42 -
$60.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.93
Resistance Level
$59.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.25
Wall Street Target
$67.97
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$61.51
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$64.03
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.3, Growth: 23.2%)
$106.07
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 23.2%)
$105.64
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 23.2%)
$89.80
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$124.43
(+119%)
Analyst growth 98.8%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case
$113.12
(+99%)
Market implied 98.8%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case
$38.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 10, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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