BYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BYD - Boyd Gaming Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$80.78
-0.17 (-0.21%) ▼
5d: -3.98%
30d: -6.68%
90d: +1.42%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BYD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.92
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BYD is currently trading at $80.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.87 to $88.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BYD scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.94 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $82.87 - $88.31
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.94)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $82.87 - $88.31
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.07
Resistance Level $84.26
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.42
Wall Street Target $95.94 (+18.8%)
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.9%
Profit Margin 44.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 10.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $79.97 (-1%)
2-Year Target $79.17 (-2%)
3-Year Target $78.38 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $80.51 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.5%) $204.11 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 9.5%) $105.94 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.5%) $90.05 (+12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.54
Bull Case $44.52 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.0
Base Case $40.48 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.6
Bear Case $55.05 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 10.7
Stabilization Target: $82.97 (+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.7%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen S Thompson SELL 19530 shares 2026-02-27
Josh Hirsberg SELL 23924 shares 2026-02-26

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Advanced BYD Option Strategies

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