Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
$304.16
10.08 (3.43%)
▲
5d:
+12.13%
30d:
+5.8%
90d:
+9.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $277.19 · last confirmed Oct 6, 2026
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBOE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBOE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$428.86
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$266.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $304.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $265.99 to $294.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $307.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBOE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $307.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBOE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$265.99 -
$294.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBOE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($313.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$265.99 -
$294.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$252.82
Resistance Level
$307.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.02
Wall Street Target
$313.80
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.2%
Profit Margin
26.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$297.47
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$290.92
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$284.52
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$304.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$377.11
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$374.12
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$318.01
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.83
Bull Case
$383.09
(+26%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$348.27
(+15%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$199.97
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$325.15
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBOE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBOE price and gamma walls.
