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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHTR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
CHTR is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; CHTR has been on it 2 days).
Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-20.
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.58
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.66
24.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: CHTR is currently trading at $110.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.05 to $128.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.5) compared to its historical average (3.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHTR scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.17 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$104.05 -
$128.65
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 57.4% below Wall St target ($173.17)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.05 -
$128.65
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$101.63
Resistance Level$112.56
Current TrendStrong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)2.47
Wall Street Target
$173.17
(+57.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)-1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)16.1%
Profit Margin9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.5 vs 3.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-12.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$89.12
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$80.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$120.38
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$1198.33
(+989%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$148.76
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$126.45
(+15%)
📈Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.41
Bull Case
$138.68
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 3.1
Base Case
$126.08
(+15%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 2.8
Bear Case
$73.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.5 to 3.7
Stabilization Target:
$165.13
(+50.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.1%
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Charter is the product of the 2016 merger of three cable companies, each with a decades-long history in the business: Legacy Charter, Time Warner Cable, and Bright House Networks. The firm now holds networks capable of providing television, internet access, and phone services to roughly 58 million US homes and businesses, around 35% of the country. Across this footprint, Charter serves 29 million residential and 2 million commercial customer accounts under the Spectrum brand, making it the second-largest US cable company behind Comcast. The firm also owns, in whole or in part, sports and news networks, including Spectrum SportsNet (Los Angeles Lakers), SportsNet LA (Los Angeles Dodgers), SportsNet New York (New York Mets), and Spectrum News NY1. Charter plans to acquire cable peer Cox.
