CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$36.60
-0.29 (-0.79%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
+11.96%
90d:
+37.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.19
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $36.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.87 to $37.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.87 -
$37.91
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.87 -
$37.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.28
Resistance Level
$38.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.74
Wall Street Target
$39.27
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$39.51
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$41.05
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$77.99
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$53.41
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$45.40
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$61.05
(+67%)
Analyst growth 50.5%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$55.50
(+52%)
Market implied 50.5%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$25.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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