CNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNO - CNO Financial Group, Inc.
$52.43
0.36 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+11.91%
90d:
+27.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.45
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $52.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.61 to $51.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.61 -
$51.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($49.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.61 -
$51.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.67
Resistance Level
$52.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.58
Wall Street Target
$49.50
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.7%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.79
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$57.25
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$59.83
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$145.90
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$70.89
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$60.26
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.48
Bull Case
$114.42
(+118%)
Analyst growth 99.8%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$104.01
(+98%)
Market implied 99.8%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$35.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L Goldberg
SELL
11060 shares
2026-03-19
Gary C Bhojwani
SELL
43021 shares
2026-02-18
Matthew J Zimpfer
SELL
33800 shares
2026-02-18
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