CNO Financial Group (CNO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNO - CNO Financial Group, Inc.
$57.67
2.50 (4.53%)
▲
5d:
+7.47%
30d:
+8.65%
90d:
+4.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.39
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $57.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.15 to $55.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.15 -
$55.06
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($54.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.15 -
$55.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.07
Resistance Level
$57.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.39
Wall Street Target
$54.75
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.55
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$63.58
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$66.76
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$122.33
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$70.15
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$59.62
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$106.34
(+84%)
Analyst growth 75.2%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$96.67
(+68%)
Market implied 75.2%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$37.52
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 30, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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