DIOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIOD - Diodes Inc
$107.56
4.08 (3.94%)
▲
5d:
+6.56%
30d:
+23.6%
90d:
+7.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.16
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIOD is currently trading at $107.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.59 to $99.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $110.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIOD scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.50 (+51.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $110.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIOD scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.50 (+51.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$84.59 -
$99.93
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DIOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.1% below Wall St target ($162.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.59 -
$99.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.20
Resistance Level
$110.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.39
Wall Street Target
$162.50
(+51.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.46
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$93.83
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$87.64
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$107.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 81.4%)
$397.05
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 81.4%)
$363.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 81.4%)
$308.56
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.63
Bull Case
$129.88
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$107.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$82.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$131.62
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 18, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Keh Shew Lu
SELL
111000 shares
2026-02-20
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