Ennis (EBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EBF - Ennis, Inc.

Manifold Business Forms
$22.36
-0.06 (-0.27%) ▼
5d: +1.08%
30d: +4.53%
90d: +4.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.44
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EBF is currently trading at $22.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.52 to $22.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: EBF scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $21.52 - $22.56
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 3.4% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.52 - $22.56
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.99
Resistance Level $22.83
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.97
Wall Street Target $24.00 (+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.5%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.83 (+2%)
2-Year Target $23.31 (+4%)
3-Year Target $23.80 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $22.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%) $35.64 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 3.9%) $25.08 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 3.9%) $21.32 (-5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case $25.62 (+15%)
Analyst growth 3.9%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case $23.29 (+4%)
Market implied 3.9%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case $15.25 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 18, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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