What is the fair value of XOM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for XOM to be between $154.50 and $162.46. The current price is $160.95.

What is the analyst price target for XOM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for XOM is $169.68. This implies a potential upside of 5.4% from current levels.

XOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation

PETROLEUM REFINING

$160.95

4.24 (2.71%) ▲

5d: -1.89%

30d: +3.54%

90d: +7.75%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your XOM Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $153.04 · last confirmed Aug 28, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

Get Alerted When XOM Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: XOM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -8.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$150.65

Based on -2.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$93.54

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XOM is currently trading at $160.95, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.50 to $162.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 112.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XOM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $155.32, while resistance sits at $168.64.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $154.50 - $162.46

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 60.5%

Protect Your Profits

Holding XOM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($169.68)
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $154.50 - $162.46

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $155.32

Resistance Level $168.64

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.12

Wall Street Target $169.68 (+5.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 112.8%

Profit Margin 9.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 15.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $158.37 (-2%)

2-Year Target $155.84 (-3%)

3-Year Target $153.35 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $161.23 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -8.4%) $164.46 (+2%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: -8.4%) $123.73 (-23%)

Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: -8.4%) $105.17 (-35%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.79

Bull Case $235.51 (+46%)

Analyst growth 36.6%, PE expands to 22.1

Base Case $214.10 (+33%)

Market implied 36.6%, PE stable at 20.1

Bear Case $106.56 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 15.9

Stabilization Target: $169.22 (+5.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.1%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 31, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is XOM showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Darrin L Talley SELL 1080 shares 2026-03-16

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for XOM.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CVX Chevron Corp	BUY 25 analysts	$218	51 HOLD
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc	STRONG BUY 17 analysts	$37	45 HOLD
SU Suncor Energy Inc	BUY 21 analysts	$70	50 HOLD
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petr…	STRONG BUY 14 analysts	$22	50 HOLD
BP BP PLC ADR	HOLD 17 analysts	$48	60 HOLD

CVX Chevron Corp

51 HOLD

CVE Cenovus Energy Inc

45 HOLD

SU Suncor Energy Inc

50 HOLD

PBR Petroleo Brasilei…

50 HOLD

BP BP PLC ADR

60 HOLD

Advanced XOM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XOM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for XOM

XOM Technical Chart XOM Price Prediction XOM Earnings Date XOM Investment Advisor XOM Fair Price Analyzer XOM Options Advisor XOM Options Chain XOM Options Analysis XOM Competitors

Compare XOM with Peers

XOM vs CVX
Which one to buy?

XOM vs JNJ
Which one to buy?

XOM vs WMT
Which one to buy?

XOM vs PG
Which one to buy?

XOM vs PFE
Which one to buy?

CVX vs XOM

XOM vs EQNR
Winner: Tie

JPM vs XOM
Winner: Tie

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie