EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$143.49
-1.85 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-4.76%
30d:
+2.7%
90d:
+13.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.80
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $143.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.40 to $146.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $140.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.47 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $140.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.47 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$136.40 -
$146.49
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($163.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.40 -
$146.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.90
Resistance Level
$152.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.02
Wall Street Target
$163.47
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.63
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$143.78
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$143.92
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$208.81
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$191.90
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$163.12
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.32
Bull Case
$265.29
(+85%)
Analyst growth 65.9%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$241.17
(+68%)
Market implied 65.9%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$98.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Surendralal Lanca Karsan…
SELL
5700 shares
2026-03-10
Matthew S Levatich
SELL
1476 shares
2026-02-10
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