Emerson Electric (EMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$152.82
2.61 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
-1.52%
30d:
-2.61%
90d:
+10.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.39
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $152.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.68 to $161.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.35, while resistance sits at $159.82.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.81 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.35, while resistance sits at $159.82.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.81 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$150.68 -
$161.06
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$150.68 -
$161.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.35
Resistance Level
$159.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.09
Wall Street Target
$171.81
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 20.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.11
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$157.44
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$159.80
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$206.02
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$197.58
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$167.94
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57
Bull Case
$261.93
(+71%)
Analyst growth 58.5%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$238.12
(+56%)
Market implied 58.5%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$102.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 06, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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