Element Solutions (ESI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$35.11
0.97 (2.84%)
▲
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
-6.47%
90d:
-8.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.30
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.92
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $35.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.47 to $36.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.45, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.33 (+38.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.45, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.33 (+38.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.47 -
$36.97
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($47.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.47 -
$36.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.45
Resistance Level
$36.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.76
Wall Street Target
$47.33
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.40
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$30.11
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$34.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.5%)
$69.70
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 17.5%)
$55.32
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 17.5%)
$47.02
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$75.39
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case
$68.54
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$23.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$38.77
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 12:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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