EXTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXTR - Extreme Networks
$24.05
-0.37 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
-21.15%
90d:
+5.62%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EXTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.39
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXTR is currently trading at $24.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.22 to $32.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXTR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+39.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXTR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+39.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.22 -
$32.23
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($33.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.22 -
$32.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.49
Resistance Level
$32.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.41
Wall Street Target
$33.50
(+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.4%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.82
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$25.61
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$26.43
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.6%)
$53.58
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$48.75
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 26.6%)
$41.44
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.39
Bull Case
$29.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$24.05
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$18.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-01
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