Ford Motor (F) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$13.10
-0.07 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-2.96%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
-6.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.62
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $13.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.49 to $14.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: F scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: F scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.49 -
$14.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding F? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($16.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.49 -
$14.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.94
Resistance Level
$14.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.70
Wall Street Target
$16.12
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.8%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.50
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.92
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$11.37
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$13.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.7%)
$45.60
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 4.7%)
$15.02
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 4.7%)
$12.76
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$15.05
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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