FNKO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FNKO - Funko, Inc. Class A Common Stock

GAMES, TOYS & CHILDREN'S VEHICLES (NO DOLLS & BICYCLES)
$6.20
-0.52 (-7.74%) â–ŧ
5d: -7.88%
30d: +7.27%
90d: +17.2%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FNKO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.48
Based on -7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.41
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FNKO is currently trading at $6.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.76 to $6.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (34.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FNKO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.83, while resistance sits at $7.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: FNKO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.58 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $5.76 - $6.56
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 45.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($7.58)
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.76 - $6.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.83
Resistance Level $7.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.38
Wall Street Target $7.58 (+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -79.4%
Profit Margin -0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.4 vs 34.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.58 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.02 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.52 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→34) $8.02 (+29%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -17.9%) $4.69 (+-24%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: -17.9%) $4.52 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: -17.9%) $3.84 (-38%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 34.4
Stabilization Target: $11.01 (+77.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +77.5%
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Last updated: September 02, 2026 12:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tracy D Daw SELL 12793 shares 2026-03-18
Andrew David Oddie SELL 6250 shares 2026-03-16
Husnal Shah SELL 3651 shares 2026-03-16

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