FTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTV - Fortive Corporation
$59.21
0.73 (1.25%)
▲
5d:
-4.98%
30d:
-4.19%
90d:
-0.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.63
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTV is currently trading at $59.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.12 to $62.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.12 -
$62.60
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.12 -
$62.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.48
Resistance Level
$64.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.34
Wall Street Target
$64.31
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.85
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.50
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$58.15
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$59.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$82.89
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$73.33
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$62.33
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$112.26
(+90%)
Analyst growth 74.5%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$102.05
(+72%)
Market implied 74.5%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$39.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$60.37
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kate Mitchell
SELL
7131 shares
2026-02-18
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